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60 Cybersecurity Predictions For 2018, (government and critical infrastructure)

government and critical infrastructure

60 Cybersecurity Predictions For 2018, (government and critical infrastructure)

60 Cybersecurity Predictions For 2018

(government and critical infrastructure) Like death and taxes, there are only two safe predictions about

cybersecurity in 2018: There will be more

spectacular data breaches and the EU General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) will go into effect

on May 25. But as the continuing digital transformation of our lives entails the ongoing digital

transformation of crime, vandalism and warfare, 2018 could also bring a lot of new takes on old v

ulnerabilities, some completely new types of cyberattacks, and successful new defenses.


government and critical infrastructure

The following list of 60 predictions starts with three general observations and moves to a wide range of cybersecurity topics: Attacks on the US government and critical infrastructure, determining authenticity in the age

of fake news, consumer privacy and the GDPR, the Internet of Things (IoT), Artificial Intelligence (AI) as a new tool in the hands of both attackers and defenders, cryptocurrencies and biometrics, the deployment of enterprise

IT and cybersecurity, and the persistent cybersecurity skills shortage.

IoT vulnerabilities will get more critical and more dangerous. Despite this, there will be no real changes in US law to regulate these devices. This isn’t a very risky prediction; Congress is currently incapable of

passing even uncontroversial laws, and any IoT regulation faces powerful industry lobbies that are

fundamentally opposed to government involvement. More interesting is what’s happening in Europe.

GDPR takes effect next year, and European regulators will begin to enforce it. The regulation has

provisions on security as well as privacy, but it remains to be seen how they will be enforced.

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If Europe starts enforcing Internet security regulations with penalties that make a difference,

we might start seeing IoT security improve. If not, the risks will continue to increase—Bruce Schneier,

Schneier on Security

Sophisticated adversaries will leverage the granular metadata stolen from breaches like Equifax, OPM,

and Anthem, in precision targeted attacks that rely on demographic and psychographic Big Data algorithms powered by machine-learning and artificial intelligence. Attackers will deploy armies of bots to propagate

the false narratives used to weaponize malicious fake news, inflate partisan debates, and undermine democratic institutions; meanwhile, they will launch multi-vector DDoS, ransomware, and malware campaigns to

impede critical infrastructure cybersecurity and national security. The demographic and psychographic

metadata will enable advanced spear-phishing operations against privileged critical infrastructure executives

and pervasive Influence Operations against populations—James Scott, Senior Fellow, Institute for Critical Infrastructure Technology

We’re going to see more attacks that attempt to subvert two-factor authentication, as sophisticated

attackers set their sights on two factor authentication-protected accounts and use flaws in SS7 to redirect

SMS text messages. In addition, software supply chain attacks like the MEDocs compromise with NotPetya

will be more prominent—Paul Roberts, The Security Ledger

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Attacks on the US government and critical infrastructure

A nation-state sponsored group will commence a 5-day long DDoS attack against a critical US government (non-DoD) agency, shutting it down in order to show their strength—The Cyber Avengers

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